Battery State of Health Estimation 2026 — PatSnap Eureka
Battery State of Health Estimation: The 2026 Innovation Map
From Kalman filters to cloud-connected AI fleets — 70+ patent and literature records spanning 2011–2026 reveal how SOH estimation has become the defining capability in EV range prediction, battery second-life, and predictive fleet management.
Three Paradigms Defining Battery SOH Estimation
Battery State of Health (SOH) estimation—the process of quantifying remaining capacity and performance relative to a battery's rated specifications—has become a foundational capability in electric vehicle fleet management, energy storage systems, and next-generation battery management systems (BMS). As tracked by organisations such as the IEA, the global electrification of transportation is accelerating demand for accurate SOH estimation as a critical determinant of vehicle range, resale value, safety, and second-life repurposing.
Among the 70+ patent and literature records retrieved spanning 2011–2026, the field spans three primary technical paradigms. Model-based methods use equivalent circuit models (ECMs), electrochemical models, and physics-informed approaches combined with adaptive observers such as Extended Kalman Filter and recursive least squares to identify parameters like ohmic resistance and capacity that track SOH. Data-driven and machine learning methods—including LSTM, BP, ELM, DNN neural networks, SVR, and GPR—learn SOH mappings from historical charge-discharge data without explicit physical modelling. Hybrid/fusion methods combine both paradigms, often incorporating Kalman filtering, adaptive observers, or knowledge graph frameworks to achieve robustness under real-world operating variability.
Health indicators (HIs) used across the dataset include incremental capacity (IC) curves, voltage integrals over fixed intervals, constant-voltage (CV) charging duration, electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) features, charging time segments, and open-circuit voltage (OCV) characteristics. The patent landscape analysis reveals that data-driven methods are now the dominant innovation axis, though real-world generalisation remains the key differentiator.
Four Method Clusters Shaping the SOH Estimation Landscape
From physics-derived equivalent circuit models to cloud-connected telematics platforms, the innovation landscape spans four distinct clusters with overlapping deployment trajectories.
Model-Based Estimation (ECM & Electrochemical)
Physics-derived battery models—typically RC equivalent circuit models or electrochemical models—combined with adaptive observers (Extended Kalman Filter, Unscented Kalman Filter, recursive least squares) to identify parameters such as ohmic resistance and capacity. Nanyang Technological University (2018) combines adaptive forgetting recursive least squares (AF-RLS) with an OCV observer to co-estimate SOC and capacity online. GS Yuasa's 2025 EP patent estimates battery usability by tracking the positional shift of OCV variation regions relative to actual capacity as batteries age.
Foundational 2011–2017 · Still active 2025Machine Learning & Deep Learning Methods
Neural networks, SVR, GPR, and genetic programming trained on charge-discharge cycle data to map health features to SOH values without requiring explicit physical models. LSTM networks dominate recent literature for their ability to capture temporal degradation sequences. Audi AG's 2024 EP patent employs a two-stage deep neural network architecture with an intermediate unsupervised clustering layer trained on battery operating characteristics. Xihua University (2022) uses LSTM with real-world bus fleet operational data and temperature correction.
Dominant innovation axis 2018–2026Health Feature Extraction & Indirect Indicator Methods
Rather than full charge-discharge profiles, these approaches extract compact, physically interpretable features—incremental capacity peaks, charging time statistics, impedance metrics, constant-voltage duration—computable from partial or irregular operating data. Brunel University London (2023) uses statistical features of CV charging duration as health indicators, explicitly avoiding the need for full charge-discharge cycles. China Electric Power Research Institute (2023) selects impedance module values at three frequencies as characteristic parameters for SVR-based SOH model construction.
Key for real-world partial-cycle fleetsCloud-Connected & Fleet-Scale SOH Monitoring
An emerging cluster focusing on system-level SOH estimation using telematics, OBD-II interfaces, CAN bus data, and cloud platforms to enable fleet-level SOH tracking and predictive maintenance without laboratory-grade instrumentation. GEOTAB INC.'s 2026 EP patent provides a fleet telemetry system for monitoring and predicting vehicle battery states to optimise maintenance before component failure. iCar Co., Ltd. (2025, KR) predicts future SOH by vehicle model and battery type using OBD-II terminals and CAN modules in a connected car IoT platform.
Fastest growing cluster 2023–2026SOH Estimation Patent Activity: Methods & Geography
Visualising the relative innovation activity across method clusters and geographic jurisdictions from PatSnap Eureka's analysis of 70+ records.
SOH Estimation Innovation Activity by Method Cluster
ML and deep learning methods represent the largest share of innovation activity, followed by model-based ECM approaches, health feature extraction, and cloud-connected fleet monitoring.
Patent Filing Geography: SOH Estimation 2011–2026
China leads the dataset with the most prolific assignee base, followed by Korea's active battery manufacturers and Europe's broad EP-filed protections.
Battery SOH Estimation Innovation Timeline: Three Phases 2011–2026
Publication activity clusters into three distinct phases — foundational (2011–2017), growth and diversification (2018–2022), and maturity with cloud/edge integration (2023–2026).
Where Battery SOH Estimation Is Being Deployed
From passenger EVs to roadside energy storage, the application landscape spans five distinct domains with different estimation requirements and assignee profiles.
Five Forward-Looking Directions from the Latest Filings
Based on the most recent patent filings in this dataset, five directions signal where the SOH estimation field is heading next.
Multi-Model Fusion with Confidence Quantification
Ningbo Geely's 2025 EP patent applies multiple machine learning algorithms in parallel, then fuses outputs using a Kalman filter-based algorithm that also provides quantitative confidence intervals per estimate. This addresses the reliability gap between lab-validated models and real-world deployment.
Dynamic Capacity Estimation with Geo-Location & Load Profiles
Hitachi's 2025 EP filing predicts voltage profiles and dynamic capacities by fusing SOH data, GPS geo-location, and load profiles, and derives a longevity index and breakdown index to prevent vehicle stranding.
V-Q Curve & Plateau Voltage for Field-Deployable SOH
BYD's 2026 BR patent calculates SOH using factory-calibrated high-voltage inflection points on V-Q curves combined with OCV-SOC plateau voltage data from actual charging events, enabling non-invasive field estimation.
AI-Model-Bank Architectures for Simultaneous SOC/SOH Estimation
Kyungpook National University's 2024 KR patent implements a neural network model bank where separate models handle normal, caution, and fault operating regimes for SOC, with an independent SOH neural network layer.
What the SOH Estimation Landscape Means for IP & R&D Teams
Data-driven methods are now the dominant innovation axis, but real-world generalisation remains the key differentiator. R&D teams should prioritise training datasets from diverse operating conditions (temperature, C-rate, usage pattern) rather than optimising further on controlled laboratory benchmarks. Patent landscape analytics can identify white-space opportunities in underserved operating regimes.
Partial charging data compatibility is a near-term competitive frontier. Methods that extract reliable SOH from incomplete, non-standardised charging segments—such as CV-phase duration features or short random charging segment methods—are particularly valuable for real-world fleets where full cycles are rarely observed. This aligns with guidance from IEEE standards bodies on real-world battery testing protocols.
Cloud-edge hybrid architectures are becoming the deployment standard. The convergence of IoT telematics, connected car platforms, and cloud-based model serving—as evidenced by GEOTAB, APPAREO IOT, and iCar filings—signals that IP strategists should evaluate defensibility not just in estimation algorithms but in data pipeline and model update architectures. The data security and IP protection implications of cloud-based model serving are particularly relevant for enterprise deployments.
Second-life battery SOH screening represents an underserved but growing IP space. With EV batteries reaching end-of-first-life in increasing volumes, rapid non-destructive SOH assessment methods—particularly EIS-based and partial-discharge approaches—are commercially strategic and currently under-patented relative to in-vehicle SOH estimation. Jurisdiction strategy should weight EP and KR heavily: the density of active patents in the European Patent Office and Korean jurisdiction, combined with active filers from Audi, GS Yuasa, Samsung SDI, Hyundai, and LG, makes freedom-to-operate analysis essential. Organisations such as the EPO provide public search tools, but comprehensive FTO analysis requires the full citation and family data available through PatSnap's customer platform.
Battery State of Health Estimation — key questions answered
The field spans three primary technical paradigms: model-based methods (equivalent circuit models, electrochemical models, and physics-informed approaches); data-driven and machine learning methods (neural networks such as LSTM, BP, ELM, DNN, support vector regression, Gaussian process regression, and genetic programming); and hybrid/fusion methods that combine model-based estimators and machine learning, often incorporating Kalman filtering, adaptive observers, or knowledge graph frameworks.
The dominant application domain is electric vehicles and hybrid EVs, where SOH estimation enables accurate range prediction, battery warranty assessment, and charging optimization. Other key domains include commercial fleet and heavy-duty transport (electric buses, work vehicles), stationary energy storage systems for grid-scale and behind-the-meter applications, battery second-life and retired battery assessment, and roadside transportation infrastructure energy storage.
Health indicators used across the dataset include incremental capacity (IC) curves, voltage integrals over fixed intervals, constant-voltage (CV) charging duration, electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) features, charging time segments, and open-circuit voltage (OCV) characteristics.
China is the most prolific contributor in this dataset, with assignees including Beihang University, BYD Company Limited, and General Motors' CN filings. Korea is the second-largest represented jurisdiction with active filers including Samsung SDI, Hyundai Motor Company, LG Chem, LG Energy Solution, and SK Innovation. Europe features AUDI AG, GS Yuasa International, IVECO S.P.A., and GEOTAB INC. Japan is represented by Hitachi Ltd. and Hitachi Construction Machinery. The United States features APPAREO IOT LLC and Honeywell International Inc.
Based on the most recent filings (2024–2026), five forward-looking directions are identifiable: (1) multi-model fusion with confidence quantification; (2) dynamic capacity estimation integrating geo-location and load profiles; (3) V-Q curve and plateau voltage methods for field-deployable SOH; (4) AI-model-bank architectures for simultaneous SOC/SOH estimation; and (5) SOH-informed vehicle usage alerts and predictive fleet management.
Methods that extract reliable SOH from incomplete, non-standardized charging segments—such as CV-phase duration features or short random charging segment methods—are particularly valuable for real-world fleets where full cycles are rarely observed. This makes partial charging data compatibility a near-term competitive frontier in battery SOH estimation.
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References
- Battery State of Health Estimate Strategies: From Data Analysis to End-Cloud Collaborative Framework — Beihang University, 2023
- A Review of Lithium-Ion Battery State of Health Estimation and Prediction Methods — Zhengzhou University of Light Industry, 2021
- A review on online state of charge and state of health estimation for lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles — University of Huddersfield, 2021
- Enhanced trip plan-based vehicle battery situational awareness — Honeywell International Inc., 2026, EP
- Method and System for Estimating the State of Health, SOH, of a Vehicle Battery — IVECO S.P.A., 2023, IT
- Method for predicting state of health of battery of electric vehicle in the future based on analysis of connected car vehicle data — iCar Co., Ltd., 2025, KR
- Battery Pack State of Health Prediction Based on the Electric Vehicle Management Platform Data — Shenzhen University, 2021
- A Review of Battery State of Health Estimation Methods: Hybrid Electric Vehicle Challenges — Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières, 2020
- Online estimation of state of health for lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles based on voltage integral and temperature — Wuhan University of Technology, 2021
- Battery State of Health Estimation Method — Samsung SDI Co., Ltd., 2023, JP
- Method and system for estimating dynamic capacity of a battery for an electric vehicle — Hitachi, Ltd., 2025, EP
- Battery level prediction system — Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd., 2025, JP
- Method and System for Estimating Online Charging and Health Status of Lithium Batteries Based on Neural Network Model Banks — Kyungpook National University, 2024, KR
- Battery state estimation based on a shift in the SOC-OCV-curve — GS YUASA INTERNATIONAL LTD., 2025, EP
- Method for Calculating the Health Status Value of a Battery, Storage Medium, Server, and Vehicle — BYD COMPANY LIMITED, 2026, BR
- Battery state of health estimator — AUDI AG, 2024, EP
- Method and system for online estimation of SOH and RUL of a battery — Tata Consultancy Services Limited, 2024, EP
- A method for estimation state of health of a battery — Ningbo Geely Automobile Research & Development Co., Ltd., 2025, EP
- Telematically monitoring and predicting a vehicle battery state — GEOTAB INC., 2026, EP
- Remote battery estimation — APPAREO IOT, LLC, 2023, US
- Apparatus and application for predicting performance of battery — LG Chem, Ltd., 2025, KR
- System of Estimating Residual Capacity of Energy Storage System and Method thereof — LG Energy Solution, Ltd., 2023, KR
- Apparatus for predicting SOH of battery and method thereof — Hyundai Motor Company, 2025, KR
- State of Health Estimation for Lithium-Ion Batteries Using IAO–SVR — Anhui University of Science and Technology, 2023
- Online State of Charge and State of Health Estimation for a Lithium-Ion Battery Based on a Data–Model Fusion Method — Nanyang Technological University, 2018
- Online State-of-Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Battery Based on Incremental Capacity Curve and BP Neural Network — Guizhou Institute of Technology, 2022
- State-of-Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Battery Based on Constant Voltage Charging Duration — Brunel University London, 2023
- State of Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Battery Based on Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy — China Electric Power Research Institute, 2023
- Data-Driven Methods for Battery SOH Estimation: Survey and a Critical Analysis — Tsinghua University, 2021
- A Data-Driven Approach to State of Health Estimation and Prediction for a Lithium-Ion Battery Pack of Electric Buses Based on Real-World Data — Xihua University, 2022
- A rapid neural network–based state of health estimation scheme for screening of end of life electric vehicle batteries — University of Birmingham, 2020
- Accurate and Efficient SOH Estimation for Retired Batteries — National Sun Yat-Sen University, 2023
- International Energy Agency (IEA) — Global EV Outlook
- IEEE — Battery Testing and Management Standards
- European Patent Office (EPO) — Patent Search and FTO Resources
All data and statistics on this page are sourced from the references above and from PatSnap's proprietary innovation intelligence platform. This landscape is derived from a limited set of patent and literature records retrieved across targeted searches and represents a snapshot of innovation signals within this dataset only.
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