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Speculative Decoding Patents: Who Leads, Where the Gaps Are 2026

Speculative Decoding Patents: Who Leads, Where the Gaps Are 2026
https://www.patsnap.com/resources/blog/rd-blog/foundation-models-speculative-decoding-patent-landscape-patent-landscape/ · Patsnap · data cut-off 2026-07-31 · downloaded from the live page
Patent Landscape · Foundation Models
Speculative Decoding Patents: Mapping the Race to Speed Up Inference
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15.2K
Published Records
51%
Top-5 Share of All Records
+20%
Filing Growth 2021→2024
US
Leading Jurisdiction

Filing growth compares 2021 (458 records) with 2024 (548) — a three-year span. 2024 is the most recent year we treat as complete: publication lags filing by roughly 18 months, so 2025 onwards are still filling in and any growth rate that ends there would understate the field. Top-5 share is the combined record count of the five largest assignees divided by all 15,242 records in scope (CR5), not by the ranked leaders only.

Published byPatsnap Research··6 min readSourced from Patsnap Eureka
Overview

What the speculative decoding patent record shows

Speculative decoding accelerates large language model inference by having a smaller draft model propose several tokens ahead, which the target model then verifies in a single pass. The technique moved from research paper to patent filing quickly once inference cost became a commercial bottleneck for foundation model deployment, and the filing record reflects that: 15,242 published records sit within the search scope defined here, spanning general-purpose compute assignees as well as newer entrants building directly on top of large language model serving stacks. The representative filing from Snowflake, covering suffix-based speculative token decoding hybridised with a draft-model approach, illustrates where the frontier of claim drafting now sits — combining two prior distinct techniques into one system claim.

The concentration figures below describe who has staked the most claim territory, not who invented the technique first. Because publication lags filing by roughly 18 months, the most recent one to two years in any trend undercount actual filing activity and should be read as provisional rather than a sign of slowing interest.

Filing activity and technology composition, 2017–2026
  1. 1INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINE CORPORATION3,510
  2. 2INTEL CORP2,275
  3. 3ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC781
  4. 4ARM LTD671
  5. 5QUALCOMM INC466
  6. 6APPLE INC437
  7. 7MICROSOFT TECHNOLOGY LICENSING LLC358
  8. 8GLOBALFOUNDRIES INC268
  9. 9TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC262
  10. 10SILVERBROOK RESEARCH PTY LTD182
Source: Patsnap Eureka. Assignee ranking and totals. Derived from a Patsnap search on Foundation Models: Speculative Decoding Patent Landscape covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.Run this in Eureka MCP
The data

Filing trend and technology composition

Two views of the same 15,242-record dataset: filings by year, and the IPC subclasses those filings carry.

A rising filing curve with a mid-decade peak

Filings ran from 497 in 2017 to a peak of 704 in 2020, before settling into a still-elevated band; 2021 to 2024 filings grew 20%, from 458 to 548. The 2025 and 2026 figures are undercounts because of publication lag, not evidence of a slowdown.

A rising filing curve with a mid-decade peak02004006008004972017201820197042020202120222023202420251342026Most recent year is partial — publication lag means later filings are not yet visible.

Software claims dominate the classification profile

G06F (electric digital data processing) appears on 80.7% of all records, far ahead of H04L (digital information transmission) at 8.0% and H04N (pictorial communication) at 5.7%. Because a single record can carry several IPC codes, these shares add up to more than 100% of the 15,242 records in scope — the pattern to note is how thin the presence of dedicated AI-model classification (G06N, 3.7%) still is relative to the general-purpose data-processing class.

Software claims dominate the classification profileG06F · Electric digital data processi…12,29480.7%H04L · Digital information transmissi…1,2258.0%H04N · Pictorial communication (video…8735.7%G06N · Computing based on AI models5623.7%G06K · Data recognition & presentation3952.6%G06Q · Business, commerce & admin dat…3882.5%H04W · Wireless communication networks3522.3%H03M · Coding & code conversion3272.1%Other3,79224.9%

Shares are the percentage of the 15,242 records in scope. A patent can carry several IPC classes, so the shares add up to more than 100%.

Source: Patsnap Eureka. Filing trend and technology composition. Derived from a Patsnap search on Foundation Models: Speculative Decoding Patent Landscape covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.

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Key patents

A representative filing and the most-cited prior art

Representative recent filing
US12572745B12026-03-10

US12572745B1 — Suffix-based speculative token decoding for artificial intelligence model

SNOWFLAKE INC.

The filing describes a hybrid speculative token decoding system that combines suffix-based decoding with a draft AI model approach, aimed at accelerating inference throughput while adapting to different workloads — particularly agentic applications with repetitive token generation patterns.Filed by Snowflake Inc., published 2026-03-10.

US12572745B1 — patent drawing 1US12572745B1 — patent drawing 2
View full filing
Most-cited records in the searched corpus
#Publication no.Patent titleCitations
1US20090254572A1Digital information infrastructure and method2,827
2US20100250497A1Electromagnetic pulse (EMP) hardened information infrastructure with extractor, cloud dispersal, secure stora…1,777
3US20090249222A1System and method for simultaneous media presentation1,367
4US20110161076A1Intuitive Computing Methods and Systems1,137
5US8468244B2Digital information infrastructure and method for security designated data and with granular data stores1,137
6US20090216910A1Computing infrastructure1,027
7US6668325B1Obfuscation techniques for enhancing software security905
8US20110143811A1Methods and Systems for Content Processing834
9US20110219208A1Multi-petascale highly efficient parallel supercomputer828
10US20110098056A1Intuitive computing methods and systems768

High citation counts favour older, foundational filings inside this searched corpus — they signal influence on later filings, not current commercial relevance.

Each row carries its publication number; clicking a row searches Eureka by that number.

Source: Patsnap Eureka. Citation counts and representative records. Derived from a Patsnap search on Foundation Models: Speculative Decoding Patent Landscape covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.Run this in Eureka MCP
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Insights

What the numbers mean for a filing decision

Three findings from the assignee ranking, filing trend and classification data that matter more than the raw counts alone.

Concentration
50.5%
of 15,242 records held by the top 5 assignees

Half the field sits with a handful of filers

The top 5 assignees combined account for 50.5% of all 15,242 records in scope, and the top 10 extend that to 60.4%. That leaves a long tail of ranked entrants below tenth place holding comparatively thin portfolios, which is where freedom-to-operate risk is more fragmented and less predictable.

Ranked leaders, 100 companies
Filing momentum
+20%
growth in filings, 2021 to 2024

Filing activity is still climbing, not cooling

After peaking at 704 filings in 2020, annual filings dipped before recovering: 2021's 458 filings grew to 548 by 2024, a 20% increase over that span. Because publication lags filing by around 18 months, 2025 and 2026 figures will revise upward and should not be read as a decline.

2017–2026 filing trend
Claim territory
80.7%
of records carry a G06F classification

The claim space is overwhelmingly general digital data processing

G06F covers 80.7% of the 15,242 records in scope, far ahead of digital transmission (H04L, 8.0%) or AI-model-specific classification (G06N, 3.7%). Filers are largely drafting speculative decoding as a general computing-architecture claim rather than routing it through AI-model-specific classification, which affects where examiners and competitors will look for prior art.

IPC subclass distribution
Filing venue
8,316
records filed via the United States receiving office

Filing activity concentrates heavily in the US

The United States receiving office accounts for 8,316 records, well ahead of Europe (EPO) at 1,756 and WIPO/PCT filings at 1,310. A filer targeting only US protection is following the dominant pattern, but the EPO and PCT volumes indicate meaningful parallel activity worth tracking for multi-jurisdiction strategy.

Receiving office distribution
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Source: Patsnap Eureka. Co-assignee relationships and derived observations. Derived from a Patsnap search on Foundation Models: Speculative Decoding Patent Landscape covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.Run this in Eureka MCP
What's next

Where to take this analysis

The dataset points to a few concrete next steps for teams evaluating freedom to operate or drafting new claims in this space.

Check freedom-to-operate against the concentrated top 10

With 60.4% of all 15,242 records held by the top 10 ranked assignees, any new filing in core speculative decoding architecture should be checked against those portfolios first before broader searching.

Run a freedom-to-operate check

Track the G06N gap as AI-specific classification grows

Only 3.7% of records carry a dedicated AI-model IPC classification against 80.7% under general digital data processing — a gap likely to narrow as classification practice catches up with the technology.

Monitor emerging classification shifts

Watch post-2024 filings as they publish

Because publication lags filing by roughly 18 months, the 2025–2026 filing counts shown here will continue to rise; revisit the trend periodically rather than treating the current curve as final.

Set up ongoing monitoring
Source: Patsnap Eureka. Forward-looking reading of the same dataset. Derived from a Patsnap search on Foundation Models: Speculative Decoding Patent Landscape covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.Run this in Eureka MCP
FAQ

Common questions about speculative decoding patents

Answers are grounded in the same dataset. Derived from a Patsnap search on Foundation Models: Speculative Decoding Patent Landscape covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.Run this in Eureka MCP

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Disclaimer. This page is generated from Patsnap Eureka data drawn from a limited snapshot of global patent and scientific-literature records, and is provided for general information and reference only.

Patent data carries inherent limitations: recent filings (typically the most recent 18–24 months) are under-counted due to standard publication lag; counts may be reported at either a patent-family or a patent-record basis and are not always directly comparable; classification, applicant-name, and citation data may contain errors, duplicates, or omissions; and the underlying search query defines and constrains the scope shown. As a result, the analysis may be incomplete or inaccurate and may not reflect the full technology landscape.

Nothing on this page constitutes an exhaustive prior-art, novelty, freedom-to-operate, or validity search, nor does it constitute legal, financial, investment, or professional advice, and it should not be relied upon as such. Any patent, commercial, or strategic decision should be verified independently and reviewed with qualified patent, legal, and domain professionals. Patsnap makes no warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or fitness for any particular purpose of the information presented.

Machine translation. Assignee and organisation names originally recorded in Chinese, Japanese or Korean have been rendered into English by an AI translation step so that the tables stay readable. These renderings are best-effort and may not match a company’s registered English name; the original name is what the underlying patent record carries, and it is what any Eureka query launched from this page uses.

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