https://www.patsnap.com/resources/blog/rd-blog/stochastic-optimization-under-renewable-uncertainty-patent-landscape/ · Patsnap · data cut-off 2026-07-31 · downloaded from the live page
Patent Landscape · Energy System Modelling
Stochastic Optimization under Renewable Uncertainty Patents
  • 39.7% concentration at the top. The five leading assignees hold 124 of 312 records in scope — a narrow group controls a plurality of filings while a long tail files once or twice.
  • Filings cooled from a 2021 peak. Activity ran from 29 records in 2021 to 22 in 2024, a -24% move over that span, before the field settled into a lower steady state.
  • G06Q dominates the claim space. 63.8% of the 312 records carry a G06Q classification, reflecting how much of this art is filed as business-process and portfolio-risk computation rather than grid control.
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312
Published Records
40%
Top-5 Share of All Records
-24%
Filing Growth 2021→2024
US
Leading Jurisdiction

Filing growth compares 2021 (29 records) with 2024 (22) — a three-year span. 2024 is the most recent year we treat as complete: publication lags filing by roughly 18 months, so 2025 onwards are still filling in and any growth rate that ends there would understate the field. Top-5 share is the combined record count of the five largest assignees divided by all 312 records in scope (CR5), not by the ranked leaders only.

Published byPatsnap Research··7 min readSourced from Patsnap Eureka
Overview

What this landscape covers

This dataset tracks patent activity at the intersection of stochastic optimization and renewable uncertainty — filings that combine scenario generation, chance-constrained dispatch or rolling-horizon methods with forecast-error handling, scenario reduction, risk measures or explicit computational-tractability claims. The scope spans 2015 through the 2026-07-31 cut-off, capturing both the financial-portfolio lineage of stochastic optimization and its more recent application to power-system planning.

Coverage runs across 312 published records assigned to 100 ranked companies and individual filers, with receiving offices led by the United States, followed by Europe and the WIPO PCT route. Because publication lags filing by roughly 18 months, the most recent one to two years in any trend understate true filing activity.

Filing activity and classification mix, 2015–2026
  1. 1EXXONMOBIL UPSTREAM RESEARCH COMPANY(US)38
  2. 2INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINE CORPORATION27
  3. 3INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE HOLDINGS INC22
  4. 4GOLDMAN SACHS & CO LLC21
  5. 5DOW GLOBAL TECHNOLOGIES LLC16
  6. 6FIVE AI LTD10
  7. 7FURMAN KEVIN C10
  8. 8GOEL VIKAS10
  9. 9ROBERT BOSCH GMBH9
  10. 10ALGORITHMICS INT9
Source: Patsnap Eureka. Assignee ranking and totals. Derived from a Patsnap search on Stochastic Optimization under Renewable Uncertainty covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.Run this in Eureka MCP
The data

Filing trend and technology composition

Two views of the same 312-record set: how filing volume moved year over year, and which IPC subclasses the claims actually sit in.

A 2021 peak, then a step down

Annual filings rose from 8 in 2017 to a peak of 29 in 2021, then declined to 22 by 2024 — a -24% move over that three-year window. 2025 and 2026 figures are still filling in under the usual publication lag and should not be read as a continued decline.

A 2021 peak, then a step down0815233082017201820192020292021202220232024202542026Most recent year is partial — publication lag means later filings are not yet visible.

Business-process framing outweighs grid control

G06Q (business, commerce and admin data processing) appears on 63.8% of the 312 records, well ahead of G06N (AI models, 23.4%) and G06F (electric digital data processing, 22.1%). Power-specific classes such as H02J (11.9%) and control classes G05B/G05D (4.8% and 3.8%) are present but clearly secondary, and vehicle- or navigation-adjacent classes B60W and G01C sit under 3% each. A record can carry several classes, so these shares sum to more than 100%.

Business-process framing outweighs grid controlG06Q · Business, commerce & admin dat…19963.8%G06N · Computing based on AI models7323.4%G06F · Electric digital data processi…6922.1%H02J · Power supply & grid systems3711.9%G05B · Control & regulating systems154.8%G05D · Control of non-electric variab…123.8%B60W · Hybrid/joint vehicle control92.9%G01C · Distance, navigation & gyrosco…82.6%Other4313.8%

Shares are the percentage of the 312 records in scope. A patent can carry several IPC classes, so the shares add up to more than 100%.

Source: Patsnap Eureka. Filing trend and technology composition. Derived from a Patsnap search on Stochastic Optimization under Renewable Uncertainty covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.

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Key patents

The most-cited records in the corpus

Representative record
US20110276514A12011-11-10

US20110276514A1 — Evaluating the quality and risk-robustness of an energy generation capacity resource plan

INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION

The present invention includes a computing system for evaluating a quality and risk-robustness of a utility company's capacity resource plan (CRP). The computing system computes a net present value of a total cost distribution of the CRP. The computing system calculates a standardized risk measure defined over the net present value. The computing system computes a resource plan that minimizes the standardized risk measure. Then, the computing system compares the standardized risk measure and the resource plan.Filed by International Business Machines Corporation, published 2011-11-10 — this record predates most of the corpus and anchors the risk-measure-over-NPV framing that recurs across later filings.

US20110276514A1 — patent drawing 1US20110276514A1 — patent drawing 2
View full record in Eureka
Highest-citation records in scope
#Publication no.Patent titleCitations
1US6278981B1Computer-implemented method and apparatus for portfolio compression429
2US20040186804A1Methods and systems for analytical-based multifactor multiobjective portfolio risk optimization148
3US20040199448A1Methods and systems for analytical-based multifactor multiobjective portfolio risk optimization141
4US8515862B2Computer-implemented systems and methods for integrated model validation for compliance and credit risk140
5US20070124227A1System and method for trading off upside and downside values of a portfolio132
6US20120185106A1Integration of demand response and renewable resources for power generation management130
7US20030195830A1System, method and framework for generating scenarios127
8US9990687B1Systems and methods for fast and repeatable embedding of high-dimensional data objects using deep learning wi…121
9US20040186814A1Methods and systems for analytical-based multifactor multiobjective portfolio risk optimization109
10US7171385B1System and method for trading off put and call values of a portfolio104

Citation counts favour older records simply because they have had longer to accumulate citations inside a searched corpus — treat this as a measure of influence on the field's vocabulary, not of current commercial relevance.

Each row carries its publication number; clicking a row searches Eureka by that number.

Source: Patsnap Eureka. Citation counts and representative records. Derived from a Patsnap search on Stochastic Optimization under Renewable Uncertainty covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.Run this in Eureka MCP
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Insights

What the numbers mean for a filing decision

Three read-outs from the concentration, trend and classification data above.

Concentration
39.7%
of 312 records held by top 5

A plurality sits with a small group

The five leading assignees combine for 124 of the 312 records in scope, and the top ten extend that to 172 records (55.1%). That leaves close to half the field to a long tail of single- or double-filing entrants, which is where freedom-to-operate work tends to find room.

Top 10 = 55.1% of 312 records
Momentum
-24%
2021 → 2024 filing change

Past the peak, not yet stable

Filings peaked at 29 in 2021 and had fallen to 22 by 2024, a -24% move. Several of the most active named assignees show zero filings in the latest full year, consistent with a field that expanded quickly around 2019-2021 and has since consolidated around fewer active filers.

Peak year: 2021 at 29 records
Classification
63.8%
of records carry G06Q

Claims skew toward computation, not hardware

Nearly two-thirds of the 312 records classify under G06Q, the business-and-admin data-processing class, versus 11.9% under H02J for power-grid systems specifically. This suggests much of the claim language is written as generic optimization or risk-computation method claims rather than grid-hardware or control-loop claims.

G06Q 63.8% vs H02J 11.9% of 312 records
Eureka AI Agent
Looking for what nobody has claimed yet?

Eureka can read the same corpus for gaps instead of for coverage: under-claimed branches adjacent to stochastic optimization under renewable uncertainty, with the prior art for and against each one.

Find the white space →
Source: Patsnap Eureka. Co-assignee relationships and derived observations. Derived from a Patsnap search on Stochastic Optimization under Renewable Uncertainty covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.Run this in Eureka MCP
Players

Who is filing, and where the gaps sit

The ranked list covers 100 companies and individual filers behind the 312 records; a small set of co-filing pairs recurs across the corpus, and momentum in the latest full year has slowed for several of the most active names.

Leader
38 records
single leading assignee

One name well ahead of fifth place

The leading assignee holds 38 records against 16 for the fifth-ranked name and 9 for tenth place — a steep drop-off that marks this as a leader-plus-long-tail structure rather than a tightly bunched field.

Leader 38 vs 5th 16 vs 10th 9
Co-filing
14 shared records
strongest co-assignee pair

A small, dense collaboration core

Ten co-assignee pairs appear in the data, with the strongest pairing sharing 14 records and two further pairs each sharing 9. This points to a compact group of individual inventors and their corporate sponsor filing jointly and repeatedly, rather than broad industry-wide co-development.

10 co-assignee pairs identified
Momentum
0 in latest year
for several top-10 assignees

Several leaders have gone quiet recently

Multiple of the most-cited assignees, including some with -100% year-on-year change, recorded zero filings in the latest year tracked. Given the 18-month publication lag, this is as likely to reflect filings still working through the pipeline as a genuine pullback, but it is worth confirming directly with any assignee under diligence.

Publication lag: ~18 months
🔍
Under-claimed branches worth a closer look
Sub-areas where filing density is low relative to the size of the parent field — early movers here face thinner prior art.
Rolling-horizon re-optimization triggersScenario-reduction distance metrics for wind/solarChance-constrained AC dispatch formulationsOut-of-sample validation protocols for forecast errorJoint risk-measure and tractability bounding claims
Rank all filers by momentum →
Recent-year filing momentum
AssigneeRecent yearYoY
ExxonMobil Upstream Research Company0—
Intercontinental Exchange Holdings, Inc.0—
Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC0-100%
Dow Global Technologies LLC0-100%
International Business Machines Corporation0—
GOEL VIKAS0—
FURMAN KEVIN C0—
ALGORITHMICS INT0—
Source: Patsnap Eureka. Assignee-level momentum. Derived from a Patsnap search on Stochastic Optimization under Renewable Uncertainty covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.Run this in Eureka MCP
What's next

Where to take this

Three follow-on paths depending on whether you need freedom-to-operate clearance, a filing strategy, or a citation-influence map.

Map the white space in detail

The under-claimed branches above are starting points, not a finished search. Run a targeted claim-scope query against scenario-reduction and rolling-horizon sub-claims before committing a filing strategy.

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Check the blocking claims directly

Before designing around any of the highly-cited records, read the granted claim set rather than the abstract — abstracts describe the invention broadly, claims define what is actually enforceable.

Review claim scope in Eureka

Track the quiet leaders

Several top-10 assignees show zero filings in the latest tracked year. Set an alert on their portfolios so a resumed filing push does not arrive unnoticed.

Set assignee alerts in Eureka
Source: Patsnap Eureka. Forward-looking reading of the same dataset. Derived from a Patsnap search on Stochastic Optimization under Renewable Uncertainty covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.Run this in Eureka MCP
FAQ

Common questions on this landscape

Answers are grounded in the same dataset. Derived from a Patsnap search on Stochastic Optimization under Renewable Uncertainty covering 2015–2026, data cut-off 2026-07-31. Counts reflect published records only and shift as new filings publish.Run this in Eureka MCP

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Disclaimer. This page is generated from Patsnap Eureka data drawn from a limited snapshot of global patent and scientific-literature records, and is provided for general information and reference only.

Patent data carries inherent limitations: recent filings (typically the most recent 18–24 months) are under-counted due to standard publication lag; counts may be reported at either a patent-family or a patent-record basis and are not always directly comparable; classification, applicant-name, and citation data may contain errors, duplicates, or omissions; and the underlying search query defines and constrains the scope shown. As a result, the analysis may be incomplete or inaccurate and may not reflect the full technology landscape.

Nothing on this page constitutes an exhaustive prior-art, novelty, freedom-to-operate, or validity search, nor does it constitute legal, financial, investment, or professional advice, and it should not be relied upon as such. Any patent, commercial, or strategic decision should be verified independently and reviewed with qualified patent, legal, and domain professionals. Patsnap makes no warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or fitness for any particular purpose of the information presented.

Machine translation. Assignee and organisation names originally recorded in Chinese, Japanese or Korean have been rendered into English by an AI translation step so that the tables stay readable. These renderings are best-effort and may not match a company's registered English name; the original name is what the underlying patent record carries, and it is what any Eureka query launched from this page uses.

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